Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MEKUNU-18
in Oman

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MEKUNU-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2018-000062-OMN
Exposed countries Oman
Exposed population 240 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 185 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (25 May 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 157 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 185 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

157 km/h Current Max.

Up to 220000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 22 May 2018 00:00 157 450 thousand 250 thousand Oman
Green 2 22 May 2018 06:00 139 490 thousand 220 thousand Oman
Green 3 22 May 2018 12:00 148 500 thousand 220 thousand Oman
Green 4 22 May 2018 18:00 148 440 thousand 8 thousand Oman
Green 5 23 May 2018 00:00 157 530 thousand 30 thousand Yemen, Oman
Orange 6 23 May 2018 06:00 139 480 thousand 180 thousand Oman, Yemen
Green 7 23 May 2018 12:00 167 480 thousand 200 thousand Oman
Orange 8 23 May 2018 18:00 157 470 thousand 220 thousand Oman, Yemen
Orange 9 24 May 2018 00:00 139 490 thousand 230 thousand Oman, Yemen
Green 10 24 May 2018 06:00 176 510 thousand 230 thousand Oman
Green 11 24 May 2018 12:00 157 480 thousand 220 thousand Oman

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 22 May 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 9.1, 57.3
GREEN
2 22 May 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 13000 people 9.6, 57.2 Yemen
GREEN
3 22 May 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 42000 people 10.4, 56.9 Yemen
GREEN
4 22 May 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 47000 people 10.7, 56.4 Yemen
GREEN
5 23 May 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 58000 people 10.9, 56 Yemen
GREEN
6 23 May 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 58000 people 11.5, 56.2 Yemen
GREEN
7 23 May 2018 12:00 Category 1 120 no people 58000 people 12, 56 Yemen
GREEN
8 23 May 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 no people 58000 people 12.6, 55.8 Yemen
GREEN
9 24 May 2018 00:00 Category 1 148 no people 400000 people 13.1, 55.6 Yemen
GREEN
10 24 May 2018 06:00 Category 1 148 no people 440000 people 13.7, 55.5 Yemen
GREEN
11 24 May 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 no people 440000 people 14.3, 55.4 Yemen
GREEN
11 25 May 2018 00:00 Category 2 157 no people 470000 people 15.3, 55 Yemen
GREEN
11 25 May 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 220000 people 410000 people 16.2, 54.5 Oman
GREEN
11 26 May 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 390000 people 17.1, 53.8 Yemen
GREEN
11 26 May 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 360000 people 17.8, 53.1 Yemen
GREEN
11 27 May 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 19, 51.5 Yemen
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Oman

Provinces

Region Province Country
Zufar Oman

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Salalah Oman City 170000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Salalah SLL 22 Civ. Paved Yes 10900
Manston 970 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Port Raysut OMRAY Oman

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Araft, Oman. This height is estimated for 25 May 2018 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (40 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 11 of 24 May 2018 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 May 2018 21:00 Araft Oman  0.4
25 May 2018 21:00 Salalah Oman  0.3
25 May 2018 21:00 Al Kathir Oman  0.3
25 May 2018 21:00 Sudh Oman  0.3
25 May 2018 21:00 Mughsayl Oman  0.2
25 May 2018 07:00 Qaysad Oman  0.2
24 May 2018 07:00 Hadiboh Yemen  0.2
25 May 2018 06:00 Lakabi Oman  0.2
25 May 2018 06:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
24 May 2018 00:00 Qadub Yemen  0.1
26 May 2018 05:00 As Sirab Oman  0.1
25 May 2018 08:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
26 May 2018 12:00 Filim Oman  0.1
24 May 2018 00:00 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
25 May 2018 20:00 Taqah Oman  0.1
26 May 2018 10:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
24 May 2018 02:00 Mutra Yemen  0.1
24 May 2018 03:00 Gishub Yemen  0.1
25 May 2018 22:00 Kharfat Oman  0.1
24 May 2018 01:00 Siqirah Yemen  0.1
24 May 2018 03:00 Steroh Yemen  0.1
24 May 2018 22:00 Miji Oman  0.1
25 May 2018 20:00 Safqut Oman  0.1
26 May 2018 19:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
26 May 2018 19:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
25 May 2018 19:00 Nafun Oman  0.1
24 May 2018 02:00 Nait Yemen  0.1
24 May 2018 02:00 Ghubbah Yemen  0.1
24 May 2018 21:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
25 May 2018 09:00 Hasik Oman  0.1
25 May 2018 09:00 Fararah Oman  0.1
25 May 2018 21:00 Dhalqut Oman  0.1
25 May 2018 21:00 Al Kharifut Oman  0.1
25 May 2018 18:00 Marbat Oman  0.1
26 May 2018 14:00 Umm Said Qatar  0.1
26 May 2018 20:00 Qasasil Qatar  0.1
26 May 2018 19:00 Umm Bab Qatar  0.1
26 May 2018 14:00 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
26 May 2018 20:00 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
26 May 2018 21:00 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.1